Russia is again laying the political and administrative groundwork for possible mobilisation, even as it publicly denies plans for a broad call-up. The move reflects a persistent manpower shortage at the front, with volunteer recruitment still failing to cover losses in Ukraine.
Across Ukraine, Russian drone and glide-bomb strikes today killed at least three civilians and wounded 22. A day earlier, an attack on the Kyiv region killed 17 people. The UN says July brought the highest number of civilian deaths in Ukraine in four years. Countries backing Kyiv are now scrambling for additional air defence systems.
Ukrainian forces struck one of Russia’s largest oil refineries, and local officials said a fire broke out after explosions. Russia’s defence ministry said yesterday morning it had shot down 475 Ukrainian drones overnight across 16 regions, including over Crimea and the Black Sea area. In occupied Crimea, earlier Ukrainian strikes set off fires at fuel, weapons and military equipment depots near Ichki and Dzhankoi. On the peninsula, attacks on bridges, rail links and fuel supplies have also led Russian-installed authorities to ration civilian fuel and manage power cuts.
Lithuania’s defence leadership has said in recent weeks that Russia sees the Baltic states and Poland as potential next targets. They stopped short of warning of an imminent conventional assault, but kept the focus on provocations, sabotage and other hybrid pressure, leaving air defence, border monitoring and counter-sabotage at the top of the regional agenda.
Kaunas said Russia is considering a hybrid attack against the Baltic states and Poland. Zelenskiy ordered preparations for a special sanctions operation against Russia and is set to visit Serbia for the first time since the invasion, opening a new diplomatic push in the Balkans.